The value of customer portfolio for telecommunication companies in Mexico

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to determine which customers are more profitable. Companies must consider the income their customers generate, as well as the costs of acquiring and keeping them. However the analysis can’t end there, companies are well aware that, although customers´ past performance could be helpful to asses their future performance, it could also be tricky. Companies have started to pay attention to the unpredictable customers´ behavior, therefore, analyzing customers´ long term value, or even customers´ life time value (LTV). Nevertheless, only few companies have bothered to evaluate if their desirable individual customers are, from the risk stand point, are desirable collective customers based on the customers´ value change. The value of each customer changes to reflect the identity of the group it belongs to, as well as to reflect in advance, the effect it will have on it´s group. This analysis has been designed to obtain the correlation between the risk-return rate of a customer and a general portfolio as the result of customer´s contribution to the LTV of such portfolio in telecommunication companies.